Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1312.368764 1486.479981 1678.176341 1905.409975 2168.081533 2462.954500 2820.130864
2025-11-23 1047.294724 1281.142860 1562.024692 1926.501248 2390.194082 2964.720115 3737.148195
2025-11-30 906.145013 1167.850641 1501.476187 1962.558353 2590.425076 3425.903556 4639.171273
2025-12-07 776.722882 1041.914876 1395.883033 1909.804905 2648.385420 3689.235401 5299.071418
2025-12-14 677.958556 940.275515 1304.154765 1855.005045 2684.070970 3912.025628 5919.436788
2025-12-21 596.461276 851.248309 1216.606588 1790.156932 2689.098444 4080.604270 6471.411749
2025-12-28 563.099624 826.763743 1217.559527 1853.851062 2892.969464 4575.784699 7620.044141
2026-01-04 526.010082 791.984448 1197.981244 1881.044911 3038.837863 4992.878408 8700.356432
2026-01-11 490.299464 755.244014 1170.646153 1890.844229 3154.269910 5370.224022 9767.696026
2026-01-18 458.474358 721.283185 1143.713729 1896.958410 3261.836987 5744.806683 10889.017635
2026-01-25 438.423888 704.323063 1142.428602 1945.908243 3450.134986 6290.156946 12440.221190
2026-02-01 418.855329 686.179654 1136.977043 1985.982106 3625.550551 6833.258725 14083.410115
2026-02-08 398.020629 664.603699 1124.474588 2013.501075 3783.977667 7373.100171 15843.250752
2026-02-15 378.164594 643.073196 1110.119357 2036.081928 3936.044998 7924.014669 17745.882671
2026-02-22 362.399525 627.349283 1104.549933 2074.470586 4124.524483 8579.844725 20036.096623
2026-03-01 335.626100 589.354226 1054.245887 2018.307238 4105.619240 8772.738326 21207.963641
2026-03-08 311.170928 553.756477 1005.435878 1959.978756 4074.322621 8931.662999 22323.162170
2026-03-15 287.684279 518.263488 953.974756 1890.973323 4010.759090 9005.087473 23222.856579
2026-03-22 281.639933 515.623266 966.477673 1958.750618 4267.755567 9895.472496 26627.494047
2026-03-29 271.741648 504.686893 961.416753 1987.693614 4437.270746 10594.157297 29642.662604
2026-04-05 260.662391 490.571797 948.676422 1998.124084 4563.296638 11200.391697 32526.362756
2026-04-12 249.995199 476.503670 934.866027 2004.632292 4680.386626 11801.948256 35551.307291
2026-04-19 244.170211 471.872974 940.493400 2056.742877 4920.511510 12784.991345 40125.814027